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Wednesday, June 25, 2014

How Does Calvin Johnson Compare With Other Wide Receiver Greats?



     Calvin Johnson is my favorite football player, and when all is said and done, he will go down as one of the greatest Wide Receivers in NFL History! To be quite frank, he already is! Johnson has played in seven NFL seasons to date and even broke Jerry Rice's single season record for most receiving yards. Not a bad way to start off your career. I am going to compare Johnson with other NFL Wide Receiver greats by doing a few things.

First I will display Johnson and the opposing players stats  (receptions, receiving yards, touchdowns) and compare the totals and averages between the two throughout their first seven seasons. Then I will subtract the opposing players career total with the numbers they produced in their first seven seasons to get the remaining numbers they put up after those initial seven. Then I divided the totals they produced with the number amount of seasons they played after their initial first seven to see what they averaged per year in those following years.

Next I took Johnson's current total and added it with his current averages and multiplied it with the number of additional seasons the other played played.  ex. 66 (number of touchdowns Johnson has currently) + 9.43 times 6 (9.43 is the average number of TD's Johnson has produced a season on average and 6 is the amount of seasons the opposing player played in after initial seven.) So it would look like 66+ (9.43*6)= 122.8 (round to nearest whole number) 123 would be the amount of touchdowns Johnson would be "projected" to have if he plays in six more seasons averaging his current averages. Finally we will add Johnson's current totals with the opposing players totals (which is essentially the number of seasons played after the opposing players initial seven with their average from those final seasons) ex. 72.83 *6 = 436.98, which is 437, the same number of receptions Harrison produced in his final six seasons.  Same formula applies throughout

 Calvin Johnson vs Marvin Harrison





 
572 receptions                                                                                         665 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                             8,800 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                          73 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                           95 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                         1,257.14 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                       10.43 touchdowns per year

                                                          Harrison's career totals
                                                                 1,102 receptions
                                                              14,580 receiving yards
                                                                 128 touchdowns

                                     Harrison played in six more seasons after his initial seven
                                                         (total minus first seven)
                                                    1,102-665= 437 receptions
                                                14,580-8,800= 6,050 receiving yards
                                                      128-73= 55 touchdowns

                                              Harrison's average per year in final six seasons
                                                        72.83 receptions per year
                                                        1008.33 receiving yards per year
                                                            9.16 touchdowns per year

                             Johnson's current total + current averages * 6, Johnson's projected totals
                                                 572+ (81.71*6) = 1,062.26 (1,062 receptions)
                                            9,328+ (1,332.57*6)= 17,323.4 (17,323 receiving yards)
                                                66+ (9.43*6)= 122.58 (123 touchdowns)

             Johnson's current total plus Harrison's totals from final six seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                                572+437= 1,009 receptions
                                                        9,328+8,800= 18,128 receiving yards
                                                                   66+55= 121 touchdowns

             

Calvin Johnson vs Steve Largent



 
572 receptions                                                                                                    399 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                       6,534 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                                   49 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                                57 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                           933.43 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                             7 touchdowns per year

Largent's career total
819 receptions
13,089 receiving yards
100 touchdowns

Largent played in seven more seasons (subtract total with first seven to get total of final seven)
819-399= 420 receptions
13,089- 6,534= 6,555 receiving yards
100-49= 51 touchdowns

average per year in final seven seasons
60 receptions
936.43 receiving yards
7.29 touchdowns

Johnson's current total + current averages *7, Johnson's projected totals
572+ (81.71*7) = 1,143.97 (1,144 receptions)
9328 + (1332.57*7) = 18,656.99 (18,657 receiving yards)
(66 + 9.43*7)= 132.01 (132 touchdowns)


Johnson's current total + Largent's total in final seven seasons, Johnson's projected totals
572+420= 992 receptions
9,328+6,555 =15,883 receiving yards
66+51= 117 touchdowns



Calvin Johnson vs James Lofton

Johnson's total and averages vs Lofton's total and averages in first seven seasons

    

       572 receptions                                                                                         397 receptions
   9,328 receiving yards                                                                              7,663 receiving yards
        66 touchdowns                                                                                    41 touchdowns
    
   81.71 receptions per season                                                                    56.71 receptions per season
 1332.57 receiving yards per season                                                        1094.71 yards per season
      9.43 touchdowns per season                                                                   6.83 touchdowns per season


     Lofton's career totals
764 receptions
14,004 receiving yards
75 touchdowns

Lofton played in 10 more seasons after his first seven
(total - first seven)
397 receptions
6,341 receiving yards
34 touchdowns

Lofton's average per year in final 10 seasons
39.7 receptions
634.1 receiving yards
3.4 touchdowns
                         
                            Johnson's current total + current averages  * 10, Johnson's projected total        572 +( 81.71*10)  = 1,389.1 (1,389 receptions)
                9,328 + (1,332.57 *10 ) = 22,653.7 (22,654 receiving yards)
                            66 + (9.43*10)= 160.3 (160 touchdowns                                
                                        
        Johnson's current total + total Lofton produced in final 10 seasons, Johnson's projected total 572+367 = 939 receptions
             9,328 + 6,341 = 15,669 receiving yards
   66+34 = 100 touchdowns



  Calvin Johnson vs Tim Brown

















572 receptions                                                                                            316 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                 4,734 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                              36 touchdowns

81.71 receptions                                                                                         45.14 receptions
1,332.57 receiving yards                                                                           676.29 receiving yards
   9.43 touchdowns                                                                                         5.14 touchdowns

                                                          Brown's career totals
                                                            1,094 receptions
                                                           14, 834 receiving yards
                                                           100 touchdowns

                               Brown played in nine more seasons after first seven
                                                      (total - first seven)
                                                  1,094-316= 778 receptions
                                          14,934- 4,734 = 10,200 receiving yards
                                                   100-36 = 64 touchdowns
                                 
                                       Brown's average per year in final nine seasons
                                                      86.44 receptions
                                                    1,133.33 receiving yards
                                                        7.11 touchdowns

                              Johnson's current total + current averages * 9, Johnson's projected totals
                                              572+ (81.71*9)= 1,307.39 (1,307 receptions)
                                           9,328+ (1332.57*9)= 21,321.1 (21,321 receiving yards)
                                                66+ (9.43*9) = 150.87 (151 touchdowns)

             Johnson's current total plus Brown's total in his final nine seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                    572+778= 1,350 receptions
                                                  9,328 + 10,200= 19,528 receiving yards
                                                       66+64= 130 touchdowns



Calvin Johnson vs Isaac Bruce

                       

572 receptions                                                                                            476 receptions   
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                7,299 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                               50 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                         68 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                        1,042.71 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                            7.14 touchdowns per year


                                                             Bruce's career totals
                                                             1,024 receptions
                                                            15,208 receiving yards
                                                                  91 touchdowns

                                     Bruce played in seven more seasons after his initial seven
                                                             (total - first seven)
                                                       1,024-476= 548 receptions 
                                                      15,208-7,299= 8,009 receiving yards
                                                          91-50= 41 touchdowns

                                            Bruce's averages per year in final seven seasons
                                                                78.29 receptions
                                                          1,144.14 receiving yards
                                                              5.86 touchdowns

                                         Johnson's current total + current averages * 7
                                             refer to comparison with Steve Largent

          Johnson's current total + Bruce's total over final seven seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                     572+ 548 = 1,120 receptions
                                              9,328 + 8,009= 17,337 receiving yards
                                                          66+41= 107 touchdowns



Calvin Johnson vs Randy Moss
                           
572 receptions                                                                                           574 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                             9,142 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                            90 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                          82 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                             1,306 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                          12.86 touchdowns per year



                                                        Moss's career totals
                                                           982 receptions
                                                      15,292 receiving yards
                                                          156 touchdowns

                                        Moss played in  nine more seasons after initial seven
                                                          (total - first seven)
                                                   982-574= 408 receptions
                                                15,292- 9,142 = 6,150 receiving yards
                                                      156-90= 66 touchdowns

                                       Moss's average's per year in final nine seasons
                                                           45.33 receptions
                                                          683.33 receiving yards
                                                          7.33 touchdowns

                                        Johnson's current total + current averages * 9
                                                   refer to Tim Brown comparison

                    Johnson's current total + Moss's total in final nine seasons,  Johnson's projected totals
                                                    572+408=980 receptions
                                                   9,328+9,142= 18,470 receiving yards
                                                     66+66= 132 receiving yards




Calvin Johnson vs Terrell Owens

572 receptions                                                                                               512 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                 7,470 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                                 72 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per yer                                                                             73.14 receptions per year
1332,57 receiving yards per year                                                         1067.14 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                          10.28 touchdowns per year


                                                               Owens career totals
                                                                1,078 receptions
                                                               15,394 receiving yards
                                                                  153 touchdowns
                                             
                                     Owens played in eight more seasons after initial seven
                                                                (total - first seven)
                                                            1,078-512= 566 receptions
                                                      15,394-7470= 8,464 receiving yards
                                                            153-72= 81 touchdowns


                                         Owens averages per year in final eight seasons
                                                               70.75 receptions per year
                                                           1,058 receiving yards per year
                                                             10.13 touchdowns per year

                          Johnson's current total + current averages * 8, Johnson's projected totals
                                         572+ (81.71*8) = 1,225.68 (1,226 receptions)
                                      9,328 + (1332.57*8) = 19988.6 (19,989 receiving yards)
                                            66+ (9.43*8) = 141.44 (141 touchdowns)


                   Johnson's current total + Owens total in final eight seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                    572+ 566 = 1,138 receptions
                                                   9,328 + 8,464= 17,792 receiving yards
                                                        66+ 81= 147 touchdowns

                                 

          


                                                           Calvin Johnson vs Cris Carter

                 
572 receptions                                                                                               399 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                  4,577 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                               42 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                              57 receptions per year
1,332.57 receiving yards per year                                                           653.86 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                                6 touchdowns per year


                             
                                                                Carter's career totals
                                                                  1,101 receptions
                                                                 13,899 receiving yards
                                                                   130 touchdowns


                                     Carter played in nine more seasons after his initial seven
                                                              (total - first seven)
                                                         1,101-399= 702 receptions
                                                   13,899- 4,577= 9,322 receiving yards
                                                          130-42= 88 touchdowns

                                           Carter's averages per year in final nine seasons
                                                                 78 receptions per year
                                                          1035.78 receiving yards per year
                                                                 9.78 touchdowns per year
                                                                                                       
                                             Johnson's current total + current average *9
                                           refer to Tim Brown and Randy Moss comparisons

                     Johnson's current total + Carter's total in final 9 seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                      572+702= 1,274 receptions
                                              9,328 + 9,322= 18,650 receiving yards
                                                          66+88= 154 touchdowns



Calvin Johnson vs Hines Ward

572 receptions                                                                                                      505 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                                        6,055 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                                   41 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                               72.14 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                                865 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                                5.86 touchdowns per year


                                                        Hines Ward career totals
                                                              1000 receptions
                                                            12,083 receiving yards
                                                              85 touchdowns

                               Ward played in an additional seven seasons after his first seven
                                                               (total-first seven)
                                                        1,000-505= 495 receptions
                                                12,083-6,055= 6,028 receiving yards
                                                            85-41= 44 touchdowns

                                              Ward's averages in his final seven seasons
                                                           70.71 receptions per year
                                                         861.14 receiving yards per year
                                                            6.29 touchdowns per year

                                          Johnson's current total + current averages * 7
                                       refer to Steve Largent and Issac Bruce comparisons

               Johnson's current total + Ward's totals in final seven seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                        572+495= 1,067 receptions
                                                  9,328+6,028= 15,356 receiving yards
                                                            66+44= 110 touchdowns




Calvin Johnson vs Jerry Rice
572 receptions                                                                                           526 receptions
9,328 receiving yards                                                                              9,072 receiving yards
66 touchdowns                                                                                            93 touchdowns

81.71 receptions per year                                                                        75.14 receptions per year
1332.57 receiving yards per year                                                            1,296 receiving yards per year
9.43 touchdowns per year                                                                         13.29 touchdowns per year



                                                              

                                                              Jerry Rice's career totals
                                                                  1,579 receptions
                                                                 22,895 receiving yards
                                                                  197 touchdowns

                                         Rice played an additional 14 seasons after his initial seven
                                                              (total-first seven seasons)
                                                            1,579-526= 1,053 receptions
                                                       22,895-9,072= 13,823 receiving yards
                                                             197-93= 104 touchdowns

                                                       Rice's averages in his final 14 seasons
                                                                75.21 receptions per year
                                                              987.36 receiving yards per year
                                                                 7.43 touchdowns per year

                          Johnson's current total + current averages * 14, Johnson's projected totals
                                        572+ (81.71*14)= 1,715.94 (1,716 receptions)
                                  9,328+ (1332.57*14)= 27,983.98 (27,984 receiving yards)
                                             66+ (9.43*14)= 198.02 (198 touchdowns)

               Johnson's current totals + Rice's totals in his final 14 seasons, Johnson's projected totals
                                                572+1,053= 1,625 receptions
                                               9,328+13,823= 23,151 receiving yards
                                                     66+104= 170 touchdowns


    Obviously these numbers are not definitive, but it does give a good insight as to how Johnson is currently measuring up to other wide receiver greats. Other unforeseeable actions could happen as well, good and bad (Johnson has another record setting year, or Johnson gets hurt). This piece was to entertain, and as a previously mentioned to see how Johnson currently measures up with other wide receiver greats!

"The domestic violence incident in Atlantic City invovling Ray Rice has been referred to the Atlantic County Prosecutor's Office for review. ... to ensure all appropriate charges are considered," it said in a statement.
Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/downashore/Atlantic-County-Prosecutor-taking-over-Ray-Rice-assault-investigation-after-video-shows-him-dragging-limp-fiance-out-of-Revel-elevator.html#0w33rOf49CGug4DM.99